Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001612 0.001712 0.001815 0.001930 0.002054 0.002185 0.002332
2025-03-09 0.001445 0.001582 0.001730 0.001901 0.002093 0.002304 0.002554
2025-03-16 0.001342 0.001505 0.001685 0.001899 0.002149 0.002432 0.002781
2025-03-23 0.001252 0.001430 0.001631 0.001878 0.002173 0.002518 0.002956
2025-03-30 0.001184 0.001374 0.001594 0.001868 0.002205 0.002609 0.003136
2025-04-06 0.001117 0.001315 0.001547 0.001842 0.002213 0.002667 0.003273
2025-04-13 0.001057 0.001258 0.001499 0.001810 0.002208 0.002706 0.003386
2025-04-20 0.000987 0.001187 0.001428 0.001746 0.002157 0.002681 0.003411
2025-04-27 0.000962 0.001169 0.001424 0.001764 0.002212 0.002794 0.003622
2025-05-04 0.000949 0.001167 0.001437 0.001803 0.002295 0.002946 0.003895
2025-05-11 0.000943 0.001172 0.001460 0.001856 0.002397 0.003128 0.004217
2025-05-18 0.000924 0.001158 0.001456 0.001873 0.002451 0.003245 0.004452
2025-05-25 0.000874 0.001105 0.001404 0.001826 0.002420 0.003250 0.004538
2025-06-01 0.000834 0.001063 0.001363 0.001793 0.002408 0.003281 0.004666
2025-06-08 0.000807 0.001038 0.001345 0.001790 0.002437 0.003373 0.004892
2025-06-15 0.000776 0.001007 0.001316 0.001770 0.002440 0.003426 0.005058
2025-06-22 0.000751 0.000983 0.001295 0.001761 0.002458 0.003501 0.005264
2025-06-29 0.000723 0.000953 0.001266 0.001737 0.002451 0.003538 0.005408
2025-07-06 0.000695 0.000921 0.001233 0.001707 0.002435 0.003557 0.005523
2025-07-13 0.000659 0.000878 0.001182 0.001647 0.002368 0.003492 0.005490
2025-07-20 0.000648 0.000871 0.001182 0.001664 0.002421 0.003624 0.005805
2025-07-27 0.000644 0.000872 0.001194 0.001700 0.002508 0.003813 0.006236
2025-08-03 0.000644 0.000879 0.001215 0.001749 0.002616 0.004044 0.006762